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Consumer Confidence Cautiously on the Rise in Ottawa Resale Market

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,179 units in October 2024 — an increase over the 1,047 units sold last month.

Home sales were 3.9% below the five-year average and 0.9% below the 10-year average for the month of October.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 11,662 units in October 2024 — an increase of 9.4% from the same period in 2023.

“We’re seeing positive movement in Ottawa’s market with sales activity up,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “This is especially interesting because there has been sustained activity throughout the year instead of the typical seasonal spikes and lulls. Consumer confidence is getting stronger, boosted by another consecutive Bank of Canada interest rate cut — though many are waiting for additional rate drops.”

The 50-basis-point reduction might offer optimism following Ontario’s tabling of the Fall Economic Statement where housing starts projections were scaled back to 81,300, representing another reduction in projections and is even further from the province’s goal of creating 125,000 new homes in 2024. The Ontario government cites high interest rates and a tough economic environment as pervasive challenges for homebuilders.

“The challenge remains supply,” says Fillier. “We know from experience that Ottawa’s inventory leans tight and can swing quickly from balanced territory to a seller’s market — which can compound affordability and accessibility challenges. Now is always the time for fresh action and innovative policies that can create much-needed inventory.”

OREB leaders and volunteers recently joined the Canadian Real Estate Association on Parliament Hill to present focused solutions to confront the ongoing housing supply crisis. With expertise and experience in market conditions and consumer needs, REALTORS® advocated to stimulate supply by investing in offsite construction technologies (i.e. prefabricated homes) and extending HST/GST relief for non-profit-built affordable ownership housing.

By the Numbers – Prices: 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $639,500 in October 2024, an increase of 0.4% from October 2023.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $639,500 in October 2024, an increase of 0.4% from October 2023.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $724,500, up 0.7% on a year-over-year basis in October.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $506,900, up 1.6% compared to a year earlier. 

    • The benchmark apartment price was $407,500, down 3.4% from last year.

  • The average price of homes sold in October 2024 was $668,690 increasing 1.2% from October 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $678,081, increasing by 0.9% from October 2023.  

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in October 2024 was $788.3 million, up 47.7% from October 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 10.4% from October 2023. There were 2,089 new residential listings in October 2024. New listings were 6.7% above the five-year average and 17% above the 10-year average for the month of October.

  • Active residential listings numbered 3,354 units on the market at the end of October 2024, a gain of 8.9% from October 2023. Active listings were 40.6% above the five-year average and 6.7% above the 10-year average for the month of October.

  • Months of inventory numbered 2.8 at the end of October 2024, compared to 3.8 in October 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

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Ottawa’s MLS® Home Sales Healthy Amid a Shifting Market

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,047 units in September 2024. This was an 11.4% increase from September 2023. Home sales were 17.4% below the five-year average and 15.4% below the 10-year average for the month of September. On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 10,485 units in September 2024 — an increase of 6.4% from the same period in 2023.  

“As we navigate a shifting housing market, Ottawa’s fall outlook is healthy,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “Activity is robust with an uptick in sales and prices remaining steady. Meanwhile, both buyers and sellers are rethinking their purchasing power amidst news about additional interest rate cuts on the horizon, longer amortizations, and increased price caps for insured mortgages.” 

“There have been encouraging policy developments recently that will stimulate demand,” says Fillier. “But Ottawa’s market does not typically have demand problems — we have chronic supply issues. We’re not building enough homes in the city, and we’re not building enough of the right homes to address the ‘missing middle.’” The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) recently reported that Ottawa’s “population-adjusted construction is at its lowest level in nearly 10 years.” A City of Ottawa progress report shows that Ottawa is only at 22 per cent of its annual housing target at the end of August.  

By the Numbers – Prices: 

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures. 

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $642,800 in September 2024, an increase of 0.2% from September 2023.  

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $729,000, up 0.5% on a year-over-year basis in September.  

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $500,000, down 1.7% compared to a year earlier.  

    • The benchmark apartment price was $414,200, down 1.3% from year-ago levels. 

  • The average price of homes sold in September 2024 was $685,551 increasing 1.4% from September 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $679,082, increasing by 0.9% from September 2023.  

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in September 2024 was $717.7 million, up 12.9% from September 2023. 

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.  

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings 

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 3.9% from September 2023. There were 2,343 new residential listings in September 2024. New listings were 4.7% above the five-year average and 11.6% above the 10-year average for the month of September. 

  • Active residential listings numbered 3,529 units on the market at the end of September 2024, a gain of 16.9% from September 2023. Active listings were 43.3% above the five-year average and 4.6% above the 10-year average for the month of September. 

  • Months of inventory numbered 3.4 at the end of September 2024, up from 3.2 in September 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

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Ottawa’s Hot Summer Market Expected to Extend into Fall

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,100 units in August 2024. This was a 10.2% increase from August 2023. Home sales were 11.4% below the five-year average and 14.1% below the 10-year average for the month of August. On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 9,444 units in August 2024 — an increase of 6.0% from the same period in 2023.

“Being a seasonal market, it’s very encouraging to see sustained levels of activity throughout the whole summer,” says OREB President-elect Paul Czan. “And coupled with a third consecutive interest rate drop from the Bank of Canada, we are anticipating a heated market in the fall.”

“REALTORS® know firsthand how affordability remains a top concern for most buyers. With a stream of new listings hitting the market and prices holding steady, buyers are not moving with urgency. They are still using caution and taking their time to find the right property for their needs and budget. As such, sellers need to be patient and work with a REALTOR® who can use the latest neighbourhood-level data and insights to properly price their property and build a selling strategy.”

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $646,000 in August 2024, a decrease of 0.3% from August 2023.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $732,500, down 0.3% on a year-over-year basis in August.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $502,200, up 0.3% compared to a year earlier.

    • The benchmark apartment price was $416,800, down 1.2% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in August 2024 was $660,341 increasing 0.3% from August 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $678,327, increasing by 0.9% from August 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in August 2024 was $726.3 million, up 10.5% from August 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory and New Listings:

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 0.2% from August 2023. There were 1,907 new residential listings in August 2024. New listings were 0.2% above the five-year average and 0.9% above the 10-year average for the month of August.

  • Active residential listings numbered 3,324 units on the market at the end of August 2024, a gain of 25.8% from August 2023. Active listings were 46.5% above the five-year average and 1.3% below the 10-year average for the month of August.

  • Months of inventory numbered 3.0 at the end of August 2024, up from 2.6 in August 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

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Ottawa’s MLS® Market Gains Momentum Heading into Summer

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,241 units in July 2024. This was a 13.6% increase from July 2023.

Home sales were 7.1% below the five-year average and 8.8% below the 10-year average for the month of July.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 8,349 units in July 2024 — an increase of 5.5% from the same period in 2023.

“As the market pace typically slows in the summer, July’s activity is encouraging and could be a sign of more gains ahead,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “Buyer confidence is slowly but surely catching up while sellers continue to add a steady stream of new listings. Of course, the extent to which that translates into transactions depends on the type of properties and price points available in our communities as supply and affordability issues persist.”

“It’s too early to tell, but recent policy developments could be a boost,” says Fillier. “Two consecutive interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada, coupled with the federal government’s introduction of 30-year amortization periods on mortgages for first-time homebuyers purchasing newly built homes, will help some buyers. However, these are demand policies and Ottawa — as well as many cities across the country — needs action on the supply side.”

In its Monetary Policy Report, the Bank of Canada points to municipal zoning restrictions and high development fees as long-standing standing challenges to supply growth. Recent data from the Ontario government shows Ottawa is significantly behind its housing starts goal having only built 1,593 homes out of its 12,583 target for 2024. OREB and its member REALTORS® continue to advocate for direct solutions to address the city’s housing crisis, such as allowing four units per lot and reducing costly development fees.

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $648,900 in July 2024, an increase of 0.1% from July 2023.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $734,700, down 0.1% on a year-over-year basis in July.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $506,100, up 3.4% compared to a year earlier.

    • The benchmark apartment price was $422,800, down 0.9% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in July 2024 was $679,610 decreasing 2.1% from July 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $681,082, increasing by 1.0% from July 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in July 2024 was $843.3 million, up 11.3% from July 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 17.1% from July 2023. There were 2,231 new residential listings in July 2024. New listings were 6.3% below the five-year average and 6.9% below the 10-year average for the month of July.

  • Active residential listings numbered 3,480 units on the market at the end of July 2024, a gain of 37.0% from July 2023. Active listings were 50.6% above the five-year average and 2.3% below the 10-year average for the month of July.

  • Months of inventory numbered 2.8 at the end of July 2024, up from 2.3 in July 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

Read

Ottawa’s MLS® Activity Builds After Recovering from Prior Slowdown

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 1,439 units in June 2024. This was a marginal increase of 0.1% from June 2023.

Home sales were 7.5% below the five-year average and 13.2% below the 10-year average for the month of June.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 7,109 units over the first half of the year — an increase of 4.2% from the same period in 2023.

“Ottawa continues to see steady activity as we head into the summer market,” says OREB President. “Unlike recent years, buyers have more room to wait, evaluate and be selective when searching for the right property at the right price, leading to a slight uptick in the days on market. Sellers are making moves as evidenced by the inventory and listings. After recovering from last year’s slowdown, Ottawa’s market performance is nearly back on par and continues to make gains.

“It’s going to be an interesting summer and next half of the year. As confidence builds, there will be ample opportunities for both parties. Now is the time for sellers to ensure their property is at its best and priced appropriately to attract buyers who remain slightly reluctant. Buyers would do well to remember that inventory levels — and competition — can swing quickly in Ottawa’s tight market.”

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $647,700 in June 2024, a decrease of 0.5% from June 2023.

The benchmark price for single-family homes was $734,300, down 0.2% on a year-over-year basis in June.

By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $501,500, down 1.6% compared to a year earlier.

The benchmark apartment price was $420,800, down 1.7% from year-ago levels.

The average price of homes sold in June 2024 was $686,535 increasing 0.5% from June 2023. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $681,345, increasing by 1.6% from the first six months of 2023.

The dollar volume of all home sales in June 2024 was $987.9 million, up 0.7% from June 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings:

The number of new listings saw an increase of 4.7% from June 2023. There were 2,469 new residential listings in June 2024. New listings were 0.8% below the five-year average and 1% below the 10-year average for the month of June.

Active residential listings numbered 3,585 units on the market at the end of June 2024, a gain of 45.5% from June 2023. Active listings were 57.8% above the five-year average and 1.9% below the 10-year average for the month of June.

Months of inventory numbered 2.5 at the end of June 2024, up from 1.7 in June 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

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May MLS® Home Sales in Ottawa Smooth and Cautious

Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) sold 1,545 residential properties in May 2024. This was a

decrease of 9.2% from May 2023.

“Ottawa’s early spring market was unsurprisingly steady,” says OREB's President. The increase in new listings indicate that sellers are more confident that properties are moving as more activity returns to the market. Some sellers, however, were likely waiting for the Bank of Canada’s interest rate announcement to see if it would affect their purchasing power. The first interest rate cut in four years is good news, but expectations still need to be managed as long as supply issues and high home prices persist.”

“Interest rate cuts, for example, can’t help get more homes built and make them affordable when the City of Ottawa is hiking development fees — a counterproductive move that OREB is firmly against.”

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $651,300 in May 2024, a marginal gain of 1.2% from May 2023.

The benchmark price for single-family homes was $736,000, up 1.1% on a year-over-year basis in May.

By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $517,500, up 2.1% compared to a year earlier.

The benchmark apartment price was $425,000, up 2.0% from year-ago levels.

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Modest Gains Across Ottawa’s MLS® Market a Sign of Shared Confidence

Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) sold 1,456 residential properties in April 2024. This was an increase of 8.9% from April 2023.

“It’s a typical spring in Ottawa’s real estate market,” says OREB's President. What sets it apart from recent springs is a restored mutual confidence among both buyers and sellers. Buoyed by recent sales activity, sellers are more confident that they can move their property as evidenced by the uptick in listings. For buyers, the pressure of the pandemic market has eased and they’re comfortable taking the time to find the property that best suits their needs. The pace is still conservative while the economy is holding some back, but overall Ottawa’s market is strong and stable, and that’s a win-win.”

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $643,700 in April 2024, a marginal gain of 1.6% from April 2023.

The benchmark price for single-family homes was $727,700, up 1.6% on a year-over-year basis in April.

By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $500,800, up slightly at 1.0% compared to a year earlier.

The benchmark apartment price was $423,100, up 2.1% from year-ago levels.

“The real story is in the details,” says OREB's President. “Looking more closely at what’s selling and for how much suggests the demographic of buyer is changing. While most of Ottawa’s market is in balanced territory, townhomes have shifted to the seller’s market side as supply shrinks. Single-family homes are the most active market, which is inflating the average sale price. The next few months will be both telling and interesting as people continue to redefine their post-pandemic normal amid an upcoming federal election and back-to-work mandate for government workers. The detailed insights and data that REALTORS® have unique access to will be invaluable in helping buyers fine-tune their strategy for their specific neighbourhood and property type.”

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Ottawa MLS® Market Shows Early Signs of a Buzzing Spring Market

Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) sold 1,165 residential properties in March 2024. This was an increase of 10% from March 2023.

“Ottawa’s real estate market is overall healthy, providing fertile ground for an active spring and summer ahead,” says OREB's President. “The increases in new and active listings indicate that sellers are feeling more confident, boosted by the rise in showing activity. Buyers, however, aren’t acting as quickly as they perhaps should be — likely because affordability and supply are still roadblocks”

“Something is around the corner in this market, though. People have adjusted to post-pandemic life and that means revisiting their housing needs. Some are downsizing or moving in from the city’s outskirts. Others are looking at more suitable properties that better meet all their needs, which weren’t accessible to them in the peak pandemic market. That’s creating pressure from multiple angles on the mid-range property market, which we know is tight to begin with in Ottawa. Just because you’re in the real estate market, doesn’t mean you’re safe from the market. If you’re a buyer or seller looking to make a move, I wouldn’t wait too long.”

The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $636,700 in March 2024, a gain of 2.7% from March 2023.

The benchmark price for single-family homes was $719,000, up 2.6% on a year- over-year basis in March.

By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $489,800, up slightly at 0.9% compared to a year earlier.

The benchmark apartment price was $418,500, up 3.7% from year-ago levels.

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Ottawa’s MLS® Market Activity Shows Strong Start to the Year

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board totaled 886 units in February 2024. This was an increase of 15.2% from February 2023.

Home sales were 13.8% below the five-year average and 5.7% below the 10-year average for the month of February.

“Even with higher prices and the interest rate holding steady, Ottawa is a strong, active market,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “With metrics across the board up from last year, it’s clear both buyers and sellers are making moves. The metrics, however, don’t tell us about all the people relegated to the sidelines because affordability remains out of reach for many.”

The Municipal Property Assessment Corporation (MPAC) recently reported that “communities with homes under $500,000 are becoming increasingly scarce.” A decade ago, 74% of Ontario residential properties had a home value estimate of less than $500,000 but that number has dropped to just 19% today.

“REALTORS® know firsthand there is persistent demand for housing in Ottawa, and our market’s activity is constrained by a lack of affordable and suitable supply,” says Fillier. “That’s why we’re currently advocating for impactful measures such as allowing four residential units on property lots and getting rid of exclusionary zoning. There’s a missing middle that we need to build up.”

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $628,500 in February 2024, a gain of 2.8% from February 2023.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $708,500, up 3.1% on a year-over-year basis in February.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $495,000, up slightly at 0.6% compared to a year earlier.

    • The benchmark apartment price was $417,000, up 2.7% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in February 2024 was $651,340, increasing 2% from February 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in February 2024 was $577 million, up 17.5% from the same month in 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Prices will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 29.5% from February 2023. There were 1,539 new residential listings in February 2024. New listings were 10.3% above the five-year average and 3.3% below the 10-year average for the month of February.

  • Active residential listings numbered 2,158 units on the market at the end of February 2024, a gain of 16.3% from February 2023. Active listings were 59.6% above the five-year average and 17.7% below the 10-year average for the month of February.

  • Months of inventory numbered 2.4 at the end of February 2024, unchanged from February 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

Read

Ottawa’s MLS® Market Thawed in January but Sales Still Slow

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board totaled 629 units in January 2024. This was an increase of 16.5% from January 2023.

Home sales were 10.7% below the five-year average and 3.9% below the 10-year average for the month of January.

“Ottawa’s market activity is seeing positive gains over last year but it’s still a relatively quiet market even by pre-pandemic standards,” says OREB President Curtis Fillier. “While REALTORS® are telling us there’s lots of showing activity — probably thanks in part to the forgiving winter thus far — it’s not all translating to sales. This tells us that buyers are back out there looking, but still approaching cautiously. During the pandemic market, buyers had to move quickly and sometimes settle for a property that didn’t check all their boxes. Today, buyers are using the slower market to take the time needed to find their perfect place. Sellers would be well-advised to adjust their expectations and thoughtfully consider their pricing and timing strategy using the negotiating expertise and hyper-local data their REALTOR® can provide.”

“Ottawa’s market conditions can fluctuate quickly, though, because our supply is chronically low,” adds Brandon Reay, OREB’s policy and external relations manager. “Ottawa needs more suitable and affordable homes to address the housing crisis, and we need to increase density to meet population demands. We can’t restore and grow upon the market activity Ottawa saw five and ten years ago without more houses for people to buy. OREB recommends direct solutions for meaningful policy change, including streamlining the process at the Ontario Land Tribunal, eliminating exclusionary zoning, and permitting four units on residential lots. To meet the aggressive housing targets, we need to close the labour gap with investments in colleges and trade schools. We don’t need any more reactionary and distracting policy, like the federal government’s extension of the foreign buyers ban.”

By the Numbers – Prices:

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $621,600 in January 2024, a gain of 3.2% from January 2023.

  • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $703,500, up 3.7% on a year-over-year basis in January.

  • By comparison, the benchmark price for a townhouse/row unit was $462,200, down 2.1% compared to a year earlier.

  • The benchmark apartment price was $418,500, up 3.7% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in January 2024 was $631,722, increasing 1.8% from January 2023.

  • The dollar volume of all home sales in January 2024 was $397.3 million, up 18.6% from the same month in 2023.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 7.3% from January 2023. There were 1,271 new residential listings in January 2024. New listings were 17.5% above the five-year average and 0.8% above the 10-year average for the month of January.

  • Active residential listings numbered 1,961 units on the market at the end of January 2024, a gain of 4.5% from the end of January 2023.

  • Active listings were 57.4% above the five-year average and 16.6% below the 10-year average for the month of January. Months of inventory numbered 3.1 at the end of January 2024, down from the 3.5 months recorded at the end of January 2023. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

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October 2023 Newsletter

Ottawa MLS® Home Sales Hold Steady in Lackluster September

The number of homes sold through the MLS® System of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) totaled 946 units in September 2023. This was unchanged from September 2022.

Home sales were 29.6% below the five-year average and 23.6% below the 10-year average for the month of September.

On a year-to-date basis, home sales totaled 9,889 units over the first nine months of the year. This was a large decline of 13% from the same period in 2022.

“Sales activity came in right on par with where it stood at the same time last year but was still running well below typical levels for a September,” said Ken Dekker, OREB President. “New listings have surged in the past several months, which has caused overall inventories to begin gradually rising again. However, available supply is still low by historical standards, and we have ample room to absorb more listings coming on the market. Our market is also right in the middle of balanced territory, and while MLS® Benchmark prices are down from last year they are still trending at about the same levels from 2021.”

By the Numbers – Prices:
The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) tracks price trends far more accurately than is possible using average or median price measures.

  • The overall MLS® HPI composite benchmark price was $643,600 in September 2023, nearly unchanged, up only 0.5% compared to September 2022.

    • The benchmark price for single-family homes was $727,500, essentially unchanged, up just 0.6% on a year-over-year basis in September.

    • By comparison, the benchmark price for townhouse/row units was $510,900, a small gain of 2.5% compared to a year earlier, while the benchmark apartment price was $422,300, falling by 1.1% from year-ago levels.

  • The average price of homes sold in September 2023 was $675,412, increasing by 2.7% from September 2022. The more comprehensive year-to-date average price was $672,837, a decline of 6.5% from the first nine months of 2022.

  • The dollar value of all home sales in September 2023 was $638.9 million, up modestly by 2.7% from the same month in 2022.

OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

By the Numbers – Inventory & New Listings

  • The number of new listings saw an increase of 9.8% from September 2022. There were 2,259 new residential listings in September 2023. New listings were 4.8% above the five-year average and 7% above the 10-year average for the month of September.

  • Active residential listings numbered 2,997 units on the market at the end of September, a sizable gain of 14% from the end of September 2022. Active listings haven’t been this high in the month of September in five years.

  • Active listings were 33.9% above the five-year average and 18.5% below the 10-year average for the month of September.

  • Months of inventory numbered 3.2 at the end of September 2023, up from the 2.8 months recorded at the end of September 2022 and below the long-run average of 3.3 months for this time of year. The number of months of inventory is the number of months it would take to sell current inventories at the current rate of sales activity.

Canadians buying homes with family, friends to combat housing affordability woes: Royal LePage survey

According to a recent Royal LePage survey conducted by Leger, six per cent of Canadian homeowners co- own their property with another party, not including their spouse or significant other. Of this group, 89 per cent co-own with family members and seven per cent with friends. Another eight per cent co-own with someone who is not a friend or family member.

Concerning their co-owning situation, 44 per cent of co-owners say that they and all fellow co-owners live in the home together. A smaller percentage (28%) say that they co-own a home with another person(s), but they do not cohabitate. Six per cent of respondents say that they co-own a home with another person(s) and neither party uses the home as a primary residence, rather as an investment or recreational property.

The COVID-19 pandemic forced some Canadians to reconsider their living situation, with many choosing to share living space with friends or family in a time of isolation.

“Different generations of families living under one roof is not a new phenomenon, but has been growing in popularity in recent years,” said Karen Yolevski, COO, Royal LePage Real Estate Services Ltd. “Census data shows that multigenerational households are now the fastest growing household type in Canada. Households group together for many reasons, including communal care for elderly parents, help raising children, cultural preferences or simply to be together.

However, the decision to live together, including co-owning a home, is a decision increasingly made for financial reasons. In an environment where home prices and interest rates have risen quickly and sharply, and where the threshold to qualify for a mortgage has become much more challenging, Canadians are pooling their resources and buying homes together. In cases where homebuyers cannot afford to purchase on their own, they are combining their buying power with their parents, children, siblings or even friends.” “In a market beset by reduced home supply, escalating prices, tightened mortgage qualification requirements, and the highest borrowing rates in more than two decades, many buyers are having difficulties securing the property that they want. Some Canadians are using co-ownership as a way of boosting their borrowing capacity or lowering their monthly mortgage costs, helping them achieve their goal of home ownership,” said Yolevski. “By dividing the cost of a home between more people, Canadians can not only get their foot on the property ladder more easily, but also expand their home search to more desirable locations or larger properties that may not have been accessible with their budget alone.”

Of those who co-own a home with another person(s) and live in the home together, nearly half (49%) say that they purchased the home with another party because they would not have been able to afford a home on their own. Thirty-eight per cent say that by co-owning, they were able to afford a larger property and/or a property in a more desirable neighbourhood. Thirty per cent say that they purchased a co-owned home because they required family support with childcare or taking care of elderly relatives.

“Opting to co-own with friends or family is not as simple as signing a piece of paper next to someone else's name – co-owning a home often comes with meaningful lifestyle changes, and requires in-depth conversations over financial, legal and personal obligations,” said Yolevski. “Regardless of whether you live in the home with your fellow co-owners or not, the responsibilities of owning a home with other people are shared, but so are the benefits.”

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September 2023 Newsletter

Ottawa Resale Market Stalls in August, Supply Challenges Persist

Members of the Ottawa Real Estate Board (OREB) sold 1,196 residential properties in August through the Board’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) System, compared with 1,130 in August 2022, an increase of 6%. August’s sales included 903 in the freehold-property class, up 7% from a year ago, and 293 in the condominium-property category, a 2% increase from August 2022. The five-year average for total unit sales in August is 1,525.

“Sales activity was up marginally on a year-over-year basis in August but remained well below the historical average for this time of year,” says Ken Dekker, OREB President. “There is no shortage of demand given increased immigration and the large Canadian population cohort entering the market. The lack of suitable, affordable housing is a hindrance. High borrowing costs and economic uncertainty are impacting both sellers and buyers, which we expect will continue to result in further market fluctuations.”

Janice Myers, OREB CEO, highlights that these latest figures coincide with the City of Ottawa’s allocation of $110 million for affordable housing. “Even if interest rates were to drop and the economy stabilized, housing will remain out of reach for many Ottawa residents. Collaboration among all levels of government and stakeholders is vital to improving affordability for homeowners and tenants alike. And we need to expand provincial regulations, allowing four or more residential dwelling units on serviced lots, to promote higher-density housing.”

By the Numbers

Average Prices*:

  • The average sale price for a freehold-class property in August was $709,739, an increase of 0.5% from 2022, and a 5.6% decrease over July 2023 prices.

  • The average sale price for a condominium-class property was $425,968 an increase of 1% from a year ago, although 1.4% lower than July 2023 prices.

  • With year-to-date average sale prices at $732,220 for freeholds and $432,571 for condos, these values represent an 8% decrease over 2022 for freehold-class properties and a 5.5% decrease for condominium-class properties.

Inventory & New Listings:

  • August’s new listings (2,228) increased 7% over August 2022 (2,090) and were on par with last month (2,234). The 5-year average for new listings in August is 2,177.

  • Months of Inventory for the freehold-class properties has increased to 3 months from 2.9 months in August 2022 and 2.7 months in July 2023.

  • Months of Inventory for condominium-class properties remains on par with August 2022 at 2.2 months, a slight decrease from 2.3 months in July 2023.

  • Days on market (DOM) for freeholds have increased to 31 days from 25 days in August 2022 and 26 days in July 2023.

  • Days on market (DOM) for condos have increased to 29 days from 28 days in August 2022 and 28 days in July 2023.

REALTORS® also help with finding rentals and vetting potential tenants. Since the beginning of the year, OREB Members have assisted clients with renting 4,571 properties compared to 4,172 last year at this time, an increase of 10%.

* OREB cautions that the average sale price can be useful in establishing trends over time but should not be used as an indicator that specific properties have increased or decreased in value. The calculation of the average sale price is based on the total dollar volume of all properties sold. Price will vary from neighbourhood to neighbourhood.

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